Palisade Research
Scorecard
Independent capability-elicitation research on released models: shutdown resistance, self-replication, offensive cyber.
Nonprofit, Berkeley, US. Independent referee; listed with independent referees. Confidence med. Domains: cyber, autonomy, scheming.
No floor triggered 8/8 evidenced · Retrieved & confirmed Scores by preset: Lab procurement –; Regulator or auditor –; Public trust –; Equal weights –. Weakest evidenced dimension: access depth (lab-granted) 1/4. No evidenced dimension below 2 — not a pass. No floor triggered means no disqualifying conflict is on file, not a pass. Full evidence.
The weighted numbers are hidden until you ask for them: two readers with different priorities see different numbers, and neither is the site's.
What would move the score. Pre-release access on published terms would raise the access score without touching the others.
- Funding 3 to 4: score –
- Governance 2 to 3: score –
- Personnel 2 to 3: score –
Dissent, lower. Access should be 0. Every published Palisade study (shutdown resistance, specification gaming, self-replication, Badllama) ran on released models through public APIs or open weights; no system card names Palisade as a pre-release tester and no engagement with a lab is on record. 'Little' pre-deployment access, with none documented, is anchor 0, and the 1 rests only on the claim's wording.
Dissent, higher. Access should be 2. Palisade's work is cited by Anthropic's CEO and briefed to Congress, and labs have responded to its findings; if any developer supplied early checkpoints or extended API windows for the shutdown or hacking studies, that is anchor 2. The record says 'little', not none, and a single documented pre-release run with extended time would move it.
Each value is the tightest admissible cap or, with no cap, the highest admissible floor, under RULES.md. The binding signal is highlighted. A dash means no admissible signal sets a bound under the Retrieved & confirmed policy.
- Philanthropically funded; no lab contracts found. floors at 3 by F.11“Contributions $2,887,428 89.3%”
Palisade Research (Palisade Research, 2026) tier 3 self (palisade)confirmed Palisade Research Inc, Form 990 FY2024 (Nonprofit Explorer) (ProPublica, 2025) tier 1 filingconfirmed Donate | Palisade Research (Palisade Research, 2026) tier 3 self (palisade)confirmed2026-09-14 - About $3.8M in cumulative Coefficient Giving grants per the index snapshot; Coefficient's principal is an Anthropic Series A investor and board observer by his own account. No bounded negative on lab money is on file. caps at 3 by F.6binding
Coefficient Giving grants index (Coefficient Giving, 2026-09-11) tier 1 indeximported metr-money-figure research ledger and audits (Kevin Bass (GitHub), 2026-09-14) tier 2 ledgerconfirmed2026-09-11 - Coefficient Giving's database records two grants totaling $2,123,463 for general support; the imported index total of $3,803,463 is marked differs pending reconciliation. caps at 3 by F.6not counted under standard“$2,123,463 2025-05”
Palisade Research grants (Open Philanthropy / Coefficient Giving, 2025) tier 1 indexunaudited evaluators.csv (24 evaluators: Coefficient and SFF totals, lab money, government contracts, leadership) (Kevin Bass (GitHub), 2026-09-14) tier 2 ledgerimported2026-09-15 - SFF recommended $1,133,000 to Palisade in 2025 (plus a $928,000 matching pledge); SFF's funder Jaan Tallinn led Anthropic's Series A. caps at 3 by F.6binding“Palisade Research Main: $477,000 Freedom: $441,000 Fairness: $0 Mean: $216,000 $1,133,000”
SFF-2025 S-Process Recommendations Announcement (Survival and Flourishing Fund, 2025) tier 3 self (sff)confirmed Anthropic raises $124 million Series A (Anthropic, 2021-05-28) tier 3 self (anthropic)confirmed2026-09-15 - Coefficient / Open Philanthropy recommended $1,680,000 (June 2024) and two grants totaling $2,123,463 (May 2025) to Palisade for general support per archived grant pages, $3,803,463 in all; Coefficient's principal funder is an Anthropic investor. caps at 3 by F.6binding“Open Philanthropy recommended two grants totaling $2,123,463 to Palisade Research for general support.”
Palisade Research — General Support (Wayback capture 2024-08-05 of the Open Philanthropy grant page) (Open Philanthropy via Internet Archive, 2024-06) tier 1 indexconfirmed Palisade Research — General Support (2025) (Wayback capture 2025-10-05 of the Open Philanthropy grant page) (Open Philanthropy via Internet Archive, 2025-05) tier 1 indexconfirmed Wayback CDX index of openphilanthropy.org/grants/p* (status 200, one row per URL) (Internet Archive, 2026-09-15) tier 1 indexconfirmed2026-09-15 - Document request: Request to Palisade Research: the Form 990 Schedule B or a donor list naming contributors above $5,000 for 2024 and 2025, and any policy on accepting money from AI developers.
- Document request: Request to Coefficient Giving: the grant pages for the two Palisade Research general-support grants ($1,680,000 June 2024; $2,123,463 May 2025) so the $2,123,463 figure can be verified against the superseded $3,803,463 index total.
- Nonprofit. floors at 2 by G.1binding“Palisade Research is a nonprofit based in Berkeley, California”
Palisade Research (Palisade Research, 2026) tier 3 self (palisade)confirmed About Palisade Research (Palisade Research, 2026) tier 3 self (palisade)confirmed2026-09-14
- No lab board roles found. floors at 2 by P.6
Palisade Research (Palisade Research, 2026) tier 3 self (palisade)confirmed2026-09-14 - Founder and executive director previously worked on Anthropic's security team; SFF recommendations of about $3.2M. caps at 2 by P.3binding“In 2022, Jeffrey was helping to build out the security team at Anthropic”
evaluators.csv (24 evaluators: Coefficient and SFF totals, lab money, government contracts, leadership) (Kevin Bass (GitHub), 2026-09-14) tier 2 ledgerimported About Palisade Research (Palisade Research, 2026) tier 3 self (palisade)confirmed2026-09-11 - Document request: Request to Palisade Research: a written statement of any cooling-off or recusal rule for staff formerly employed by evaluated developers, and the start and end dates of the executive director's Anthropic employment as published on the about page.
- Little pre-deployment access; most work is on released models. caps at 1 by A.1binding“As the companies shipped model after model, Palisade kept finding what researchers had been warning about for years”
Palisade Research (Palisade Research, 2026) tier 3 self (palisade)confirmed About Palisade Research (Palisade Research, 2026) tier 3 self (palisade)confirmed2026-09-14
- Sets its own questions and publishes without lab review. floors at 3 by S.5binding“So Jeffrey assembled a team to investigate emerging AI behavior and strategic capabilities.”
Palisade Research (Palisade Research, 2026) tier 3 self (palisade)confirmed About Palisade Research (Palisade Research, 2026) tier 3 self (palisade)confirmed2026-09-14
- Publishes findings unwelcome to labs, including shutdown resistance and self-replication. floors at 4 by R.5binding“the first time AI models have been observed preventing themselves from being shut down despite explicit instructions”
Palisade Research (Palisade Research, 2026) tier 3 self (palisade)confirmed OpenAI's Skynet moment: Models defy human commands, actively resist orders to shut down (Computerworld, 2025-05) tier 4 press (primary)confirmed These AI Models From OpenAI Defy Shutdown Commands, Sabotage Scripts (TechRepublic, 2025-05) tier 4 press (primary)confirmed2026-09-14
- Publishes code and transcripts. floors at 3 by M.1binding“View Published Paper Code Access Paper”
Palisade Research (Palisade Research, 2026) tier 3 self (palisade)confirmed Shutdown resistance in reasoning models (Palisade Research, 2025-07-05) tier 3 self (palisade)confirmed Language Models Can Autonomously Hack and Self-Replicate (Palisade Research, 2026-05-07) tier 3 self (palisade)confirmed2026-09-14
- No commercial products. floors at 4 by X.7
Palisade Research (Palisade Research, 2026) tier 3 self (palisade)confirmed2026-09-14 - Palisade's FY2024 Form 990 reports $344,829 (10.7% of revenue) from program services; the counterparty is not disclosed. caps at 3 by X.7binding“Program Services $344,829 10.7%”
Palisade Research Inc, Form 990 FY2024 (Nonprofit Explorer) (ProPublica, 2025) tier 1 filingconfirmed2026-09-15
Values under each evidence policy
| Dimension | Leads included | Retrieved & confirmed | Against interest | Verified spans | Primary only |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Funding | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
| Governance | 2 | 2 | – | 2 | – |
| Personnel | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | – |
| Access depth (lab-granted) | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | – |
| Scope control | 3 | 3 | – | 3 | – |
| Publication rights | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | – |
| Method transparency | 3 | 3 | – | 3 | – |
| Role incompatibility | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
| Score, Lab procurement | – No floor triggered, 8/8 | – No floor triggered, 8/8 | – No floor triggered, 5/8 | – No floor triggered, 8/8 | – No floor triggered, 2/8 |
| Score, Regulator or auditor | – No floor triggered, 8/8 | – No floor triggered, 8/8 | – No floor triggered, 5/8 | – No floor triggered, 8/8 | – No floor triggered, 2/8 |
| Score, Public trust | – No floor triggered, 8/8 | – No floor triggered, 8/8 | – No floor triggered, 5/8 | – No floor triggered, 8/8 | – No floor triggered, 2/8 |
| Score, Equal weights | – No floor triggered, 8/8 | – No floor triggered, 8/8 | – No floor triggered, 5/8 | – No floor triggered, 8/8 | – No floor triggered, 2/8 |
Traced money and ties
hop 2: 3 rows (recommendation $2.8M, grant $2.1M). Confirmed rows: 3 of 3 (2 excluded after a re-fetch disagreed or could not be verified: T10, T37) Dollar sums: confirmed + unaudited USD rows only; imported figures are not re-derived and never summed. Second hop traced for 2 of 2 sources. Ties: none within two steps recorded. Checked and not found: 0.
Ledger
Money in
- T10 from Coefficient Giving (formerly Open Philanthropy): recommendation $3.80M; superseded by T75 — excluded from sums, 2021-2025. cumulative supersededtier 1 indexhttps://coefficientgiving.org/
- T37 from Survival and Flourishing Fund: recommendation $2.08M; quarantined — excluded from sums, 2023-2024. SFF recommendations 2023 to 2024 (cumulative minus the confirmed 2025 row) differstier 3 selfhttps://survivalandflourishing.fund/
- T66 from Survival and Flourishing Fund: recommendation $1.13M, 2025. SFF 2025: $1,133,000 incl. $205,000 speculation grant and $928,000 matching pledge confirmedtier 3 selfhttps://survivalandflourishing.fund/2025/recommendations
- T75 from Coefficient Giving (formerly Open Philanthropy): grant $2.12M, 2025-05. two grants totaling $2,123,463 for general support (Open Philanthropy grant page, archived) confirmedtier 1 indexhttps://web.archive.org/web/20251005184735/https://www.openphilanthropy.org/grants/palisade-research-general-support-2025/
- T91 from Coefficient Giving (formerly Open Philanthropy): recommendation $1.68M, 2024-06. general support (Open Philanthropy grant page, archived; amount updated August 2024) confirmedtier 1 indexhttps://web.archive.org/web/20240805094803/https://www.openphilanthropy.org/grants/palisade-research-general-support/
Roles hosted
- R45 Jeffrey Ladish: principal, 2022. founder; imported kevinnbass/metr-money-figure:EV19 importedhttps://palisaderesearch.org/about
Funding graph, focused
Every one-way chain to a lab and to an evaluator at full strength, everything else faded. Hover any name to trace its connections; click a name to open its page.